Thursday, 15 November, 2018

NOAA releases the 2018-2019 Winter Outlook

NOAA predicting mild winter in New England – Boston News, Weather, Sports NOAA releases 2018-19 Winter Outlook
Guillermo Lane | 22 October, 2018, 02:57

The likelihood of El Nino, meteorologists say, 70-75%. The active El Nino winter in North America - in the Midwest and in Canada is usually become warmer.

That's the message from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Climate Prediction Center, which released its 2018-19 winter outlook report Thursday - coincidentally, on the day many Mainers woke up to their first dustings of snow for the season.

But North and SC, along with much of the southeast and Mid-Atlantic, the Tennessee Valley and Ohio Valley, "all have equal chances for below-, near- or above-average temperatures", NOAA said. The effect could "influence the winter season by bringing wetter conditions across the southern United States, and warmer, drier conditions to parts of the North".

"All things being equal, the slight kick we get out of the climate signal does tilt things toward the warm side", Halpert said; cautioning, however, that that's not enough to outweigh other factors if they push toward cold. No place in the U.S.is expected to experience cooler-than-average temperatures, according to NOAA. This video below explains El Nino further and provides greater details about NOAA's winter outlook. The chances are highest in southeastern Georgia and much of northern and central Florida.

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From December to February the temperature is above average (for this period) is expected in the Western, southeastern, Central and northwestern States, as well as in Hawaii and even in Alaska.

"Even on a warming planet", he said, "it doesn't mean winter goes away and it's never cold again".

- Wetter-than-average conditions are favored across the southern tier of the US, and up into the Mid-Atlantic. "The maps show only the most likely category with higher probability indicating greater confidence".

The drought outlook for is looking positive for southwestern OR, as NOAA predicts the situation will improve. He said there is a chance El Nino could reach moderate strength and a "blob" of warm water setting up in the Northeast Pacific Ocean could set up a jet stream pattern that maximizes the delivery of cold air into the eastern United States.

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