Thursday, 15 November, 2018

Oil rises to $73 on report of Russia, Saudi output cut talks

Secretary Jeremy Hunt Secretary Jeremy Hunt
Faye Gross | 09 November, 2018, 15:44

The American Petroleum Institute (API) on Tuesday reported a buildup of 7.83 million barrels in the USA crude oil inventories for the week ending November 2.

WTI stays offered after the EIA reported another build in USA crude oil stockpile, this time by 5.783 M barrels during last week.

Oil prices fell on Wednesday, extending losses from the previous session, with markets well supplied amid rising production and USA sanction waivers that allow Iran's biggest customers to continue buying its crude.

In October, Iran's crude exports were estimated at 1.82 million bpd by Kpler and 1.5 million bpd by another firm that monitors Iranian shipments. The waivers, he notes, are temporary and growth in demand is "likely underestimated".

The price of West Texas Intermediate crude reached a low of $61.31 a barrel on Tuesday.

Still, while the United States clampdown will probably trigger recession in Iran next year, economic meltdown should be avoided, with a reduced but still significant volume of oil exports continuing, a Fitch solutions analyst said.

But President Donald Trump withdrew the United States from the deal in May, calling it flawed to Iran's advantage, and reimposed far-reaching USA sanctions in phases, with the most damaging oil and banking penalties taking effect on November 5.

India has warm relations with Iran and has joined China and European powers in saying it was not obligated to comply with the unilateral US sanctions, although it has sought to appease Washington by curbing some of its Iranian oil imports.

Saudi Arabia said the move would translate into an output rise of around 1 million bpd.

Minnesota, Michigan send first Muslim women to US Congress
MA will also be getting its first black congresswoman while Arizona and Tennessee stand to elect their first woman senators. Tlaib (D) is the daughter of Palestinian immigrants and ran a progressive campaign.


Mr. Trump has repeatedly has asked oil producers to pump more crude to lower prices.

Pipelines are coming online in the Permian and Cushing is getting filled up again, which pressures oil prices to the downside, Cramer said.

The US sanctions, meanwhile, are unlikely to cut supply as much as expected.

Oil rose as Opec and its allies were said to plan discussions about fresh production cuts next year, responding to recent increases in oil inventories amid surging USA supply.

"Based on credible data, we now know that up to a dozen Iranian tankers have recently disabled their maritime transponders and have effectively gone dark", Hook said on Wednesday.

US gasoline futures are also trading in bear market territory, down almost 28 percent from their 52-week high.

Two sources familiar with the matter told Reuters that the country would be allowed to buy 360,000 bpd of Iranian crude during the exemption period, which would be about half the daily average China has been importing from Iran since January 2016. The key driver of this, in the short term, is the trade war between the U.S. and China.

The United States on Monday re-imposed sanctions against Iran's oil exports to punish Tehran for its involvement in several Middle Eastern conflicts.

India is also Iran's second-biggest oil customer and will be one of the most exposed to a forced drop in supply because of its relative proximity to Iran.

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